I place over 3 million in local newspaper advertising annually. That number has dropped steadily over the last decade. When other media salespeople tell me that it's a bad purchase, I tell them a home delivered, age targeted, local content rich, advertising vehicle that still delivers a respectable ROI. In short it's the cheapest direct mail available. But I know a day is coming when I'll get an email saying that XYZ newspaper is ceasing operations and I will lose the coverage in that area.
I follow the Paper Cuts blog at and watch paper after paper cutting staff from the their payrolls to keep afloat. That includes editorial staff. Newspaper dimensions have shrunk, too. Some are resorting to putting cards in their vending machine windows to avoid showing exactly how much they've decreased the size. The the story from my local reps over the last several years has been that decrease advertising dollars is really putting the pinch on the local newspaper economics. I'm sure it is. I'm spending less. Grocery stores are spending less. Automotive is spending less in spite of the increase in car sales over the last two years. The irony is that the local newspaper still has a product that the consumer wants. But the cost structure of the product has been built around the "paper" part of the newspaper rather than the "news" part of it.
I've seen estimates of 55% cost of newspaper production dedicated to paper, printing and distribution. As the cost of delivery goes up due to higher minimum wage and gasoline costs that will climb even higher putting more pressure on newspapers to cut costs in editorial. Well that's the root of the problem... the newspapers business model emphasizes the "paper" over the "news".
My modest proposal is that newspapers stop printing. Last year the New York Times publisher said as much would happen sooner or later. I know that's not an easy thing to do, but my proposal is that during an accelerated wind down of the printed product local newspapers begin signing wireless phone style contracts with subscribers. In return for a 3 year contract the reader will receive a Kindle or an iPad. In this way a newspaper can have a reasonable assurance that it can operate its newsroom for the next several years and the consumer gets what they really wanted all along... the news. I haven't quite figured out the numbers, but I can assure you that people want local, timely content... and people like nifty gadgets too. This model has worked exceedingly well in the wireless phone industry, it will work in this one too.
Content is king and if local newspapers are only regurgitating AP wire stories they are only reducing the value to readers and by extension advertisers. With a contracted reader base the local newspaper will be reinvigorated with younger readers. Resulting analytics will give both newspaper and advertiser new ways to reach the consumer and improve ROI.
So there it is, my modest proposal. I challenge the local newspapers to focus on what the consumer is really buying... the news... not the paper.
Eh...just remember that the 2010 revenue of the Huffinton Post, the most popular news website, was 31M. That is peanuts. Digital is the future, but it is not gonna be so rapid. In the last six years, many papers have restructured their debt, but only about 10 have gone into liquidation. This is actually a far fewer number than in any five year span in the past. They have been able to cut expenses with falling revenues pari pasu. Papers have troubles, but relax, it is not time to panic.
ReplyDeleteI'm only saying that the newspaper business model will fail, not that online represents a good alternative for advertisers. So comparing revenue of the online news outlets misses my point. I was notified this week that two of the newspapers in which I place advertising are going to three day home delivery. That is the beginning of the end for these publications. It also reinforces my assertion that the printing and delivery of the product are the parts of the equation that are out of whack.
ReplyDeleteI was going off what I thought was your conclusion-
ReplyDelete"I challenge the local newspapers to focus on what the consumer is really buying... the news... not the paper."
Subsequently, I reasoned that if you wanted papers to stop printing, that you felt that it will delivered in some other fashion. The only other option is online. Online, however, is no option at this point.
Is your point actually that newspapers should just shutter and cash out their investors like some other obsolete industries have done in the past? Though clearly, it's not that, since you recommend in your post a switch to iPads etc.
I think we will (or should) see the legacy print business subsidize a switch to digital over the next ten years.
"two of the newspapers in which I place advertising are going to three day home delivery." - Yeah, they're dead. What state is this in, or region? If this was vendor-only info, don't tell me.
"Millions of dollars are wasted by companies every year who have been convinced to get ahead of the consumer."- Fact. But I think you misspelled 'Billions' as 'Millions'.
I guess the 'm' is too close to the 'b' on my keyboard.
ReplyDeleteThe newspapers are in Grand Rapids and Kalamazoo, MI.
The problem with digital delivery as it stands is that it doesn't give a bang for the buck for the local marketer. Online advertising that is interruptive enough to be noticed by the reader is considered too obtrusive and off-putting. The display options offered by newspapers in there online editions (website based) just don't produce the kind of response per impression that the printed product does.
That's why I look for a future version of tablet based deployment that has a home for "impactful" advertising among locally relevant content.
Thanks for the info.
ReplyDeleteAnd i could not agree with you more on the ad side with print vs. online and the bright future in tablets. Well said.